The United Nations Commissioner for Namibia (South West Africa) Mr. Sean Macbride, has predicted that?
The film has an interview with Mr. Macbride. Here is a transcript:
MACBRIDE: "I think there is going to be a number of very rapid changes. The Chinese have been training large contingents of Rhodesians to invade Rhodesia from Mozambique. It is also quite likely that Zambia will join in and there will also be liberation movement forces going in from the Zambian side into Rhodesia as well as the liberation movements already operative in Rhodesia itself.... So I think that there is going to be very rapid developments there."
REPORTER: "Would it be a successful invasion?"
MACBRIDE: "I think so. I don't think the Rhodesian army is capable of standing up to it."
REPORTER: "So that the Smith regime, the white regime, could be gone within a month, six weeks from now?"
MACBRIDE: "I think it is quite possible."
REPORTER: "Would South Africa not come to their aid?"
MACBRIDE: "I don't think so. South Africa has too much on her own plate. That's why South Africa has been pressing the smith regime for a long time to try to come to terms with the African National Council because they are not prepared to defend Rhodesia and extend their own borders by several hundred miles."
REPORTER: "Despite this seemingly inevitable prospect that you paint, it is a fact that talks are still going on between Mr. Smith and African Nationalists under Joshua Nkomo. Is there no chance that they will reach a compromise?"
MACBRIDE: "I think it's doubtful. As usual the Smith regime is not prepared to go far enough thus therefore Mr. Nkomo will not agree to a compromise. The Nationalist movement is split itself and the liberation forces outside Rhodesia are being led by Bishop Muzorewa and other leaders who would not accept the compromise that Mr. Nkomo would accept."
REPORTER: "If Rhodesia goes do you think South Africa will go soon afterwards?"
MACBRIDE: "I think the next target of the African states will be Namibia, my particular baby, and I think there will be considerable effort by the African states on Namibia next. Of course the liberation of Angola under the MPLA will facilitate the (indistinct)."
REPORTER: "And Namibia might have its independence, how soon?"
MACBRIDE: "I have said within this year."
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Background: The United Nations Commissioner for Namibia (South West Africa) Mr. Sean Macbride, has predicted that Rhodesia will be invaded by black nationali??? guerrillas from Mozambique and Zambia "within weeks".
Mr. Macbride said the Smith regime's army would only withstand the attack for about a month -- referring to the white army of Rhodesian Premier Ian Smith's government.
He said the "onslaught" on Rhodesia would take place in a matter of weeks.
"It will come from Mozambique, where a substantial number of Rhodesian have been receiving military training from the Chinese and also from the Russians," he said.
Mr. Macbride thought there would also be a thrust from Zambia. He said that Zambia had been altering course very sharply in the present situation. He said he thought it would join in any struggle that took place to set up an independent state of Zimbabwe (Rhodesia).
Mr. Macbride, a Nobel Peace Winner and former Irish Foreign Minister said it was possible the smith regime could collapse before Easter, and he thought it was doubtful that the South Africans would be able to assist the Rhodesians.
"South Africa has too much on her own plate, that is why South Africa has been pressing the smith regime to come to terms," he said.
Mr. Macbride said he doubted whether Mr. Smith would be able to come to an agreement with the African Nationalists under Joshua Nkomo.
He said Namibia would be the next target of the African states.
SYNOPSIS: Mr. Sean Macbride, the Untied Nations Commissioner for Namibia, formerly South West Africa, has predicted in Dublin recently that black nationalist guerrillas will invade Rhodesia within weeks and take it within a month. Mr. Macbride made the remarks in an interview with a Telefis Eirean reporter in dublin, the Irish capital.